20 Top - Esra Model Chemal Gegg

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| Step | Action | Practical tip | |------|--------|----------------| | | Import CHEMAL GEGG data into your ESRA software (most accept CSV). | Ensure the column headings match the model’s CAS , Use‑Category , Emission‑Rate fields. | | 5.2 | Select relevant exposure scenarios (e.g., “Urban Industrial”, “Rural Agriculture”). | You can drop the entire 20‑chemical set or filter by sector‑specific uses. | | 5.3 | Run baseline Monte‑Carlo simulation (≥ 5 000 iterations). | Save the output as baseline_ESRA_scores.csv . | | 5.4 | Perform “What‑If” analyses – e.g., 50 % reduction in emissions, substitution with a lower‑risk analogue, or implementation of a containment barrier. | Compare new scores against the baseline to quantify risk reduction. | | 5.5 | Communicate results using the colour‑coded risk band and a GIS heat map. | Stakeholder‑friendly visualisation = higher uptake of mitigation measures. | | 5.6 | Document uncertainties – highlight chemicals where the 95 % CI spans > 15 risk points (usually PFAS, PCBs). | Transparent reporting builds regulator confidence. | | You can drop the entire 20‑chemical set

Generating reproducible scores to support legal and environmental permitting processes.